Everyone was looking forward to the showdown between Knicks Go and Life Is Good in the $ 3 million Invitation to the Pegasus World Cup at Gulfstream Park on Saturday. Even though the two most likely winners are in the short term, there are ways to approach the race with value in mind.
This article will cover the final 4 pick ending in the Pegasus World Cup and offer exact rear wheels and trifecta for the featured race.
Gulfstream Race 9: Pegasus World Cup Filly and Mare Turf (G3)
It’s a spread out race.
The 6 year old mare Royal Glory is the best horse entered and deserves the most respect.
She won the Matriarch Stakes (G1) by 2 1/2 lengths at Del Mar last November after securing an undisputed lead at a slow pace. Even though her last victory came in a rhythmic fashion, Regal Glory can also follow or close, as evidenced by her second place finish in the First Lady Stakes (G1) in Keeneland and her overall victory in the De La Rose Stakes in Saratoga.
If Regal Glory tries to adopt rhythm tactics again, she faces a more difficult task with speed-types Shifty She, Lady Speightspeare, and Sweet Melania present.
Regal Glory may try to settle into a stalking or mid-pack position, but traffic is always an issue. It makes sense to explore value options, especially when the Fred W. Hooper Stakes (G3) and Pegasus World Cup look chalky.
Assuming the pace picks up, Gift List, Alms, Summer in Saratoga, In a Hurry and Bipartisanship are able to take the lead from behind.
Also consider Wakanaka, who is making his North American debut for coach Bill Mott after racing in Italy for his first eight starts. If Mott is debuting this filly in a high-stakes race right off the bat, he must see some talent in her.
Top pick: No. 4 Regal Glory (2-1)
Contenders: No. 2 Wakanaka (12-1), No. 5 Gift List (15-1), No. 6 Alms 20-1), No. 8 Summer in Saratoga (12-1), No. 10 In a Hurry (12-1), No. 11 Bipartisanship (20-1)
Paris
Choose 4: 2,4,5,6,8,10,11 / 8 / 2,3,5,6,9,10,12 / 1.4
On a 50 cent bill, the total is $49.
Gulfstream Race 10: Fred W. Hooper Stakes (G3)
The future is bright for Speakers’ Corner, who enters this race after a 6 3/4 length victory in an optional Belmont claiming race last October and nearly half a length second behind Miles D in the Discovery Stakes (G3) at Aqueduct .
Earlier in the 2021 season, Miles D finished third in the Travers Stakes (G1) against some of the top 3-year-olds in just his fourth career start.
Speaker’s Corner is now down to a mile, which he’s supposed to appreciate considering he broke his maiden and won a seven furlong Saratoga allowance race.
Without getting caught up in the numbers, Speaker’s Corner also has TimeformUS’ best numbers in the business.
Expect Speaker’s Corner to overpower this group at the turn and win.
Top pick: No. 8 Speaker’s Corner (2-1)
Gulfstream Race 11: Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1)
Unfortunately, that’s another spread race.
Colonel Liam is the top horse and the defending champion, but he’s entering a 238-day layoff and showing a poor run before the layoff. Also, he had a run of preparation before his win at Pegasus Turf last year and is lacking in preparation this time around.
Although Colonel Liam may win, consider using other horses.
Colonel Liam’s stable mate, Never Surprised, is the next best entrant. He is a newly transformed 4-year-old colt who is showing sharp form at the end of 2021 thanks to his victory in the Gio Ponti Stakes by 6 1/4 lengths in November at Aqueduct and the local Tropical Park Derby by 6 1/ 4 lengths. the day after Christmas.
Hit the Road, Channel Cat and Field Pass are capable of upsetting Todd Pletcher’s two favorites. Last year, Hit the Road won the Frank E. Kilroe Mile (G1) and Channel Cat won the Man o’ War Stakes (G1) for their campaign highlights, while Field Pass won both the Baltimore/Washington International Turf Cup (G3) and Seabiscuit Handicap (G2) for his big wins.
Two bigger long shots to consider are Atone and Flavius.
Atone finished second in the local Fort Lauderdale Stakes (G2) last month, which is forgivable as Doswell was left alone with an undisputed lead.
Flavius lost the Frank E. Kilroe Mile by one length to Hit the Road last March. The highlight of his season came when he won the Lure Stakes at Saratoga in August on good ground including Tell Your Daddy and Value Proposition.
Top pick: No. 6 Colonel Liam (3-1)
Contestant: No. 12 never surprised (12-1)
Other contenders: No. 5 Hit the Road (8-1), No. 9 Field Pass (10-1), No. 10 Channel Cat (12-1)
Live Long Shots: No.2 Atone (20-1), No.3 Flavius (15-1)
Gulfstream Race 12: Pegasus World Cup Invitational
Knicks Go enters this race as Breeders’ Cup Classic champions. He also won last year’s edition of the Pegasus World Cup, as well as the Whitney Stakes (G1) in August to become the probable horse of the year.
Life is Beautiful has only won one Grade 1, the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile. However, he gave an excellent visual impression by dominating by 5 3/4 lengths.
Earlier in the season, Life Is Good lost the H. Allen Jerkens Stakes (G1) by a neckline to Jackie’s Warrior. Besides these Tier 1 efforts, he has also won the Sham Stakes (G3), San Felipe Stakes (G2), and Kelso Handicap (G2).
Use both Knicks Go and Life Is Good horizontally.
If the race is played vertically with an exacta or a trifecta, the horse under Knicks Go and Life Is Good must offer long-term odds to compensate for the low prices of the two favorites. Otherwise, there is no point to a vertical bet.
Consider backtracking Stilleto Boy under the two favorites. He has proven his ability to hit the board more than once in level 1 races.
In the back wheel trifecta also add Chess Chief, Sir Winston and Title Ready as well as Knicks Go and Life Is Good in the second slot.
Top selection: n°4 Life Is Good (7/5)
Contestant: No. 1 Knicks GB (6/5)
Live Longshot: No. 3 Stilleto Boy (20-1)
Paris
Exacta rear wheel: 1.4 / 3
Trifecta rear wheel: 1.4 / 1,2,4,6,7 / 3
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