Horse Racing Advice: Best Bets, Internal Mail for Hawkesbury with Matt Jones
Smart Trials have a gelding bred in New Zealand for a first Australian win for Tulloch Lodge. BEST BET, INTERNAL MAIL
Daily Telegraph analyst Matt Jones makes his best bets and runs every race for Hawkesbury.
The Form: Complete the NSW Racing Thoroughbred Form, including video reruns and everything you need to know about each horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!
Race 6, n Â° 1: CROSS TALK
His victory in New Zealand in his debut was a ripper and he came to Australia and tested like he was ready to win here too.
Race 2, n Â° 3: MR BOURGOGNE
I loved his last barrier tryout and Will Freedman wouldn’t take him to the provincials in his debut unless he thought highly of him.
Race 3, n Â° 2: ETHERIDGE
Normally you don’t tip the horses that raced last in their last three starts if she can beat Seduction Queen at home, I think that means she wins and getting on the trip is fine for her.
Race 5: 1, 2, 5
Race 6: 1
Race 7: 1, 8
Race 8: 3, 8, 9
COACH TO WATCH
Brad Widdup only has two horses on his track, Moon Reader and Sonic Tycoon, but both should present good chances in the second and sixth races.
JOCKEY TO WATCH
Josh Parr rides his old pal Quackerjack in the main race and can also win over Seduction Queen and Vyner.
HOME MAIL FOR HAWKESBURY
You have to think that Hypnosis will improve considerably after his third place over a year into the race. More fitness brings him to that. First Peoples have tried it out in a good way to indicate a good start for a new team. Imperial Wolf had over two years off and last raced at Goulburn but has since gone out and won a barrier try in a fine way at Rosehill and he has a good chance in a race like this . Zohan did his best towards the end of his try to suggest he’s ready for a good effort over 1,100m.
Bet: First Peoples to win
Mr Burgundy trotted in a barrier tryout early enough to suggest he would make a good run for his debut for a promising coach to Will Freedman. Moon Reader performed rather well on her Newcastle debut when she was sent off against all odds and she is naturally improving on her home track for her second race. Tales Of Conflict tried pretty well without being sensational against First People who won so see how it goes in the opening race and it will give bettors confidence or a lack of hope. No statement will likely be about speed and has run well enough here to be considered a horse that takes bad luck out of the equation.
Bet: M. Bourgogne winner
Seduction Queen returns here after a good victory on the last start and we can count on her to have a good race. She was not far from winning in town two starts ago and after her last victory, she should run the 2100m. Microna can threaten here after running pretty well in the last town start and beating The Guru three starts back who won on Tuesday and he takes bad luck out of the equation. Ethridge is dropping in rank and will be much better in second place and on more ground and has to be the horse to support in double digits.
Bet: Exactly 2, 1
For Valor finished second here a fortnight ago when the odds were sent. He had just come out of a long stretch and already had good form in town, so he will undoubtedly attract support as a speed horse. Vyner is very fit for that and is falling back 100m which is probably not a bad thing and is conditioned in a superior stable and improving this time around. Is it the day for Grand Palazzo? She will win one at some point. Sliders had three tries before their first race after almost a year of stopping and will be kind and forward for that.
Bet: Grand Palazzo in every way
Daichi got a win which is always a good thing and he’s trained by a top team and didn’t have a hard time doing it when he tried his hand so he looks like a horse ready to go. produce fresh. Quiet Riot is well placed here and can be forgiven for his new run and can be expected to produce a better result here. The Colonel’s form is not that bad and is coming back to a firmer path now on which he has performed well in the past. Major Murphy is a threat as an outsider.
Bet: Colonel to win
Cross Talk who has been doing really well in his only New Zealand start, his debut, and he’s trained well enough to suggest he can win on his first start in Australia. He looks like a talent but it’s a fair enough area. La Tigresa is consistent but a little unsuccessful. She’ll be there late if she runs to her previous one. Sonic Tycoon has good fresh form and is racing on his new home track, so expect a good run. Kung Fu Mushu is a tough horse who won here first and Tommy Berry sticks and they will be fine again.
Bet: Cross talk to win
Mark Newnham didn’t put Quackerjack in an easier Listed race than this. The winner of Villiers is in a good position to come out of it if he comes close to his best. He’s had a few trivial issues over the past 10 months, but he got past them and started off with a pretty good new effort, so expect a good performance. Wheelhouse is also very well placed at just 54kg, 5kg lighter than Quackerjack, and that could turn out to be late. Seems like Elvis still looks like a horse you want to support after seeing his last race, but he just can’t win one. Reloaded and Polly Gray will attract support.
Bet: Quackerjack to win
Buba shot to get a smooth run behind the speed under top runner Tommy Berry so she has every chance but needs another win or the bettors will lose confidence just like her. Free Rider has a pretty good track record and if he’s doing his best he’s right. Just A Jedi is retiring from races in town and he’s been at Group 2 level in the past and even though he did run a fortnight ago he hasn’t been beaten far. Carolina Fire won the last start here by leading and she is staying on the same course, which will not have her chances to go back to back.
Bet: Just a Jedi to win
Originally published as Race day focus: best bets, internal mail for Hawkesbury