Horse Racing Tips: Best Bets, Tips, Pakenham Cup Day Preview with Brad Waters, Nick Quinn’s Mailbag
The winning partner aims to do better at Pakenham after finishing second in a similar race on the last start.
The analyst’s Herald Sun, Brad Waters, provides an overview of each race to the meeting of the Pakenham Cup Saturday. In addition, the mailbag Nick Quinn.
BROWNIE (Race 3, N Â° 9)
Flying mare who rushed to The Valley last time around and will only be harder to beat at just 51kg on Saturday.
MIMI PRIZE (Race 7, n Â° 14)
Although closed when it is not far in Ballarat but not to 2500m will be perfect for her and now she has a very good record in Pakenham.
2, 4, 5, 6, 9/3, 6, 9/1, 3, 4, 9/1, 2, 7
$ 100 flexi for 55.5%
1, 3, 4, 9/1, 2, 7/1, 3, 4, 6/10, 14/1, 2, 3/1, 8, 12, 14
$ 100 flexi for 8.68%
Race 6: 1, 3, 4, 6, 8
Race 7: 8, 10, 14
Race 8: 1, 2, 3
Race 9: 1, 8, 12, 14
$ 100 flexi for 55.5%
RACE 1 (12:35): BENCHMARK 70 HANDICAP (1600m)
LYRICAL LAD (4) can give punters a perfect start on Pakenham Cup day. He was exceptional in the wet on Cranbourne Cup day, but he handles all types of terrain and there should be enough ground for him in the Pakenham box. TYCOON BEC (7) is talented and will significantly improve her first place in Geelong. DENERO (1) finished well to win at Sandown second and will be in better shape. MR PICKWICK (8) was solid in his recovery from Donald and will enjoy the 1600m.
SUGGESTED BET: LYRICAL LAD up for grabs.
TAB MARKET MOVER: The Bec Tycoon $ 3.70- $ 3.50.
RACE 2 (1:10 p.m.): POLICELLES & MARES HANDICAP BENCHMARK 78 (1400)
Tough race for the mares but PERHAPS THE BEST (6) put in a lot of effort in the wet at Cranbourne last time around and will be better suited to come back to the top. Expecting her to improve greatly. MARIAMIA (2) was impressive when she last won the seven lengths over 1200m at The Valley. She did not place in two 1400m races but could be ready for another crack in the distance. STARLIGHT SCOPE (4) came back to the race in a formidable way with victories on both outings this time around. SWEET SIXTEEN (9) will be in better shape for two innings back and could improve.
SUGGESTED BET: MAYBE THE BEST to win.
TAB MARKET MOVER: Mariamia $ 5.50 – $ 4.80.
RACE 3 (1:45 p.m.): BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1000m)
BROWNIE (9) beat rivals on the final 1,000m trip to The Valley and is expected to measure up to benchmark 78 at Pakenham, especially with just 51.5kg back after apprentice Josh Richards’ claim . LADY SOLLY (3) impressed with an easy victory with 62 kg at The Valley and has an excellent second place record. She is a great danger despite the rise of classes. WINSUM (10) won first place well last time around and has a lot of pace. BROADWAYANDFOURTH (2) has been competitive in more difficult races and has the talent to be fresh here.
SUGGESTED BET: BROWNIE to win.
TAB MARKET MOVER: Brownie $ 3.80 – $ 3.20.
RACE 4 (2:20 p.m.): 3 YEARS BENCHMARK 70 HANDICAP (1000m)
MARINE ONE (1) will find this much easier than his honest effort in the Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes at Flemington and the fall to 1000m will suit him. CECIL STREET LAD (4) was an impressive winner last time around and had more time to develop. UNFLINCHING (3) has impressed in his two ins so far and should be around again. TRANSLATION (9) did well in second place in The Valley and will be in better shape.
SUGGESTED BET: MARINE ONE to be won.
TAB MARKET MOVER: Rusheen $ 15- $ 9.
RACE 5 (3pm): 9MILE FRESH HANDICAP (1600m)
Consistent FRANKIE PINOT (7) gets his chance to break through for another win after a series of minor rankings. He chased the smart mare Lighthouse home in Ballarat and will only be 51kg after apprentice Madison Lloyd’s claim. HI STRANGER (1) is honest and falling in rank after winning the Listed Kilmore Cup on the last start. DON’T DOUBT DORY (2) will find it easier than tackling the Cranbourne Cup and can improve. BLACK SAIL (5) led and pushed hard in the Donald Cup and ran well on this trip.
SUGGESTED BET: FRANKIE PINOT to win.
TAB MARKET MOVER: Frankie Pinot $ 2.60 – $ 2.50.
RACE 6 (3:40 p.m.): DAVID BOURKE MEMORIAL HANDICAP (1200m)
VAINSTREAM (3) could exceed the odds here first. He was far from being disgraced in first place last time around and had a long break after facing this race last year. His tries have been strong and his Pakenham record is solid. AMMUNITION (4) has resumed with a strong effort in the rhythm at Flemington and will be in better shape. RANTING (6) is in the process of regaining his best form and will be in good shape again. BLAZEJOWSKI (1) did a good job under 60kg in the first heavy ground and will be improved.
SUGGESTED BET: VAINSTREAM every way.
TAB MARKET MOVER: Ocean beyond $ 5.5 $ 4.40.
RACE 7 (4:20 PM): LISTED PAKENHAM CUP (2500M)
A level playing field for the $ 300,000 Pakenham Cup but with the MIMI’S AWARD (14) after her solid effort at Ballarat when she ran well to finish on the heels of the placegetters. She is a Group 3 winner over 2500m and has shown an attachment to Pakenham. TEAM CAPTAIN (10) was an impressive winner at Flemington and should come up against that despite a drop in distance. SMOKIN ‘ROMANS (8) is honest and will be competitive again. MOSH MUSIC (4) might be ready to improve.
SUGGESTED BET: Return MIMI’S AWARD with a saver on TEAM CAPTAIN.
TAB MARKET MOVER: Team Captain $ 5.50 – $ 4.20
RACE 8 (5:00 p.m.): LINGOT D’OR VOBIS (1400m)
Stay on top of the leaderboards as usual in these VOBIS Gold races. WINNING PARTNER (2) performed well when narrowly beaten in a similar contest at The Valley and should have every barrier two odds. YULONG JANVIER (1) will give shape to his rivals but can win the first. LOOK LIKE ELVIS (3) will find it easier than recent high stakes races in NSW. REAL SENSATION (4) is a will to race and could fill a classification.
SUGGESTED BET: WINNING PARTNER to win.
TAB MARKET MOVER: Winning partner $ 11 – $ 6
RACE 9 (5.40 p.m.): BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (2000m)
Perhaps the toughest race of the day will end the Pakenham meeting. ROUSSEAU (12) thrived on this distance at The Valley and will be up to this more difficult competition. SALTPETER (8) promises to be ready for the crack of this course after a good effort over 1600m at Ballarat. THE AWESOME SON (14) is on the rise and was impressive finishing hard to score over 2040m at The Valley. WYCLIF (1) was not far first and will be in better shape for this lower class.
SUGGESTED BET: ROUSSEAU to win.
TAB MARKET MOVER: Kissinger $ 3.80 – $ 3.50.
MAIL BAG NICK QUINN
TAB tip expert Nick Quinn gives his betting suggestions for the main races at Pakenham and Ascot.
BEST BET: SOCIALIST (Randwick, Friday, R3 # 5)
VALUE BET: WAIHAHA FALLS (Rosehill, R8 n Â° 8)
UPDATE OF THE WEEK: MR MOSAIC (Rosehill, R4 No.8)
OPEN DISABILITY (1600M)
Pakenham, R5, 3 p.m.
Hi Stranger is the kind of horse you would love to own because he never runs a bad race.
He finished just out of the money two starts at Flemington in the Group 3 Chatham Stakes before securing a solid victory in the final start of the Kilmore Cup.
Any rain will only improve its chances.
Frankie Pinot followed a surprise victory at Sandown with four spots in four sets and is expected to be in the silver again.
THE BOARD : HI STRANGER in each direction.
PAKENHAM CUP (2500M)
Pakenham, R7, 4:20 p.m.
At the start of the week, Smokin Romans didn’t appear to be a favorite for this race, but was installed as a favorite at $ 3.40 when the field was declared. He has finished in the top three in his last eight starts and was heavily supported in the Ballarat Cup when he was second behind Wentwood. With Jamie Kah in the saddle, expect him to be popular again.
Mankayan, however, broke for a deserved first Aussie victory on the last start at Cranbourne and has gone from $ 4.80 to $ 4.60 since the draw.
There was also a lot of money for the team captain, $ 8 to $ 4 in pre-post bets and now $ 4.60.
THE BOARD : MANKAYAN in each direction.
BENCHMARK 72 HANDICAP (1500M)
Rosehill, R8, 4:40 p.m.
The Waterhouse-Bott team has mastered the race perfectly with the top two on the market, For Valor ($ 4.20) and Too Much Caviar ($ 5.50).
For Valor continues a tripled, while Too Much Caviar has always been a lot of concentration because of its close relationship with the greatest sprinter of all black caviar, and built a nice resume with two wins and three rankings in six starts. .
I have one at every odds that opened $ 12 in Waihaha Falls, especially staking more units than winning.
The galloper trained by John O’Shea first drew attention over the 1300m at Rosehill.
THE BOARD : WAIHAHA FALLS each way.
CLASSIC KINGSTON TOWN (1800M)
Ascot, R8 19:45
Rising Western Empire star appears to have a mortgage on it as trainers Grant and Alana Williams and jockey William Pike threaten to wipe out Perth’s characteristics.
Western Empire leads the market at $ 1.40, and the winner of the All-Star Mile 2020 Regal Power at $ 5 is the only other single-digit single-digit runner.
There was a small spot for Searchin Rocs, from $ 15 to $ 11.
THE BOARD : EMPIRE OF THE WEST in multiple bets.